Monday, December 16, 2024

What next for Assad and his family?

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What next for Assad and his family?

When Bashar al-Assad was toppled on Sunday, it turned the page on not only his 24-year presidency but on more than 50 years of his family ruling Syria.

Before Assad took office in 2000, his late father Hafez was president for three decades.

Now, with rebels led by the Islamist militant group Hayat Tahrir-al Sham (HTS) forming a transitional government, the future of the deposed president, his wife and their three children is uncertain.

Why did Assad flee to Russia?

Russia was a staunch ally of Assad during Syria's civil war and has two key military bases in the Middle Eastern country.

In 2015, Russia launched an air campaign in support of Assad that turned the tide of the war in the government's favour.

A UK-based monitoring group reported that more than 21,000 people, including 8,700 civilians, were killed in Russian military operations over the following nine years.

However, distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia was either unwilling or unable to help Assad's government stop the rebel's lightning offensive after it began in late November.

Hours after rebel forces seized control of Damascus, it was reported by Russian state media that Assad and his family had arrived in Moscow and that they would be granted asylum on "humanitarian grounds".

But when Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov was asked about Assad's whereabouts and asylum claim by reporters on Monday, he said: "I have nothing to tell you... right now. Of course, such a decision [on granting asylum] cannot be made without the head of state. It is his decision."

The Assads' ties to Russia, specifically Moscow, are well-documented.

A 2019 investigation by the Financial Times found that Assad's extended family had purchased at least 18 luxury apartments in the Russian capital, in a bid to keep tens of millions of dollars out of Syria during the civil war.

Meanwhile, Assad's eldest son, Hafez, is a PhD student in the city - with a local newspaper reporting just last week about the 22-year-old's doctoral dissertation.

Amid the chaos at the weekend, Russian state TV reported that officials in Moscow were in talks with "the Syrian armed opposition" to secure Russia's bases and diplomatic missions.

Who are Assad's wife and children?

Assad is married to a dual British-Syrian national, Asma, who was born and raised in west London to Syrian parents.

She attended school and university in London before becoming an investment banker.

Asma moved to Syria full-time in 2000 and married Assad around the time he succeeded his father as president.

Dr Nesrin Alrefaai, a visiting fellow at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), told BBC News that Asma "holds a British passport, so could return to the UK" instead of remaining in Russia.

"However, the USA [has] imposed sanctions on her father, Dr Fawaz al-Akhras, who is also reported to be in Russia," she said - suggesting Asma may want to stay put in Moscow for now.

In a report by the Mail Online, neighbours were quoted as saying Asma's father, a cardiologist, and mother Sahar, a retired diplomat, wanted to be in Moscow to "console" their daughter and son-in-law.

Assad and his wife have three children: Hafez, the PhD student, Zein and Karim.

A 2022 US State Department report to Congress said the extended Assad family's net worth was between $1bn (£790m) and $2bn (£1.6bn) - though it noted that it was difficult to estimate because their assets are "believed to be spread out and concealed in numerous accounts, real estate portfolios, corporations, and offshore tax havens".

According to the report, Bashar and Asma maintained "close patronage relationships with Syria's largest economic players, using their companies to launder money from illicit activities and funnel funds to the regime".

It also said that Asma had "influence over the economic committee that manages Syria's ongoing economic crisis" - and had made key decisions on Syria's "food and fuel subsidies, trade and currency issues".

She also exerted influence over the Syria Trust for Development, through which most foreign aid for reconstruction in regime-held areas was channelled.

In 2020, then-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo alleged that Asma had "become one of Syria's most notorious war profiteers" with the help of her husband and her family.

Another senior Trump administration official described her as the "business head of the family" and an "oligarch" who had been competing with Bashar's cousin Rami Makhlouf.

He is one of Syria's richest men and the family rift became public knowledge after he posted videos on social media complaining about his treatment.

Could Assad face prosecution?

Following the fall of the Assad dynasty, Amnesty International's secretary general Agnès Callamard said Syrians had been subjected to what she called "a horrifying catalogue of human rights violations that caused untold human suffering on a vast scale".

This includes "attacks with chemical weapons, barrel bombs, and other war crimes, as well as murder, torture, enforced disappearance and extermination that amount to crimes against humanity".

She called on the international community to ensure that people suspected of breaking international law and other serious human rights violations must be investigated and prosecuted for their crimes.

On Tuesday, the Islamist rebel leader in Syria said any of the ousted regime's senior officials found to have been involved in torturing political prisoners would be named.

Abu Mohammed al-Jolani also said his so-called Syrian Salvation Government would seek to repatriate officials it identified who fled to another country.

In France, investigative judges have sought an arrest warrant for Assad for alleged complicity in crimes against humanity and war crimes, in connection with a deadly chemical attack in Syria in 2013 under the legal concept of universal jurisdiction.

Russia does not extradite its own nationals - a legal process whereby someone is returned to another country or state to face trial for a suspected crime.

Assad is unlikely to leave Russia to go to a country where he could be extradited back to Syria or any other that might charge him with a crime. 

A palace in shock: Bashar al-Assad's final moments in Syria

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Hours before rebel forces seized Damascus and toppled his government on Sunday, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad was already out of the country, telling hardly anyone, five former officials told AFP.

The night before, Assad had even asked his close adviser Buthaina Shaaban to prepare a speech -- which the ousted leader never gave -- before flying from Damascus airport to Russia's Hmeimim air base in Syria, and from there out of the country.

Assad left even "without telling... his close confidants in advance", a former aide told AFP, requesting anonymity for security reasons.

"From the Russian base, a plane took him to Moscow."

"His brother Maher," who commanded the Syrian army's feared Fourth Brigade, "heard about it by chance while he was with his soldiers defending Damascus. He decided to take a helicopter and leave, apparently to Baghdad," added the former aide.

Other top officials in Assad's government and sources told AFP what happened in the final hours of the iron-fisted leader's 24-year rule.

All spoke on condition of anonymity because of security concerns.

Leaderless

When Islamist-led rebel forces launched their offensive in Syria's north on November 27, Assad was in Moscow, where his wife Asma has been treated for cancer.

Two days later, when their son Hafez was defending his doctoral thesis at a Moscow university, the whole family were there, but not Bashar, according to a presidential palace official.

On November 30, when Assad returned from Moscow, Syria's second city of Aleppo was no longer under his government's control.

The following week, the rebels took Hama and Homs in quick succession, before eventually reaching the capital.

Another palace official said he did not see Assad the day before Damascus fell last Sunday.

"On Saturday Assad didn't meet with us. We knew he was there, but did not have a meeting with him," said the top official.

"We were at the palace, there was no explanation, and it caused great confusion at the senior levels and on the ground," he said.

"Actually, we had not seen him since the fall of Aleppo, which was very strange."

During that fateful week, Assad called a meeting of the heads of Syria's intelligence services to reassure them.

But the longtime leader did not show up, and "Aleppo's fall shocked us", said the same top palace official.

Hama was next to fall into rebel hands.

"On Thursday, I spoke at 11:30 am with troops in Hama who assured me the city was under lockdown and not even a mouse could make it in," an army colonel told AFP.

"Two hours later they received the order not to fight, and to redeploy in Homs to the south," added the officer of the next strategic city sought by the rebels on their way to Damascus.

"The soldiers were helpless, changing clothes, throwing away their weapons and trying to head home. Who gave the order? We don't know."

The governor of Homs told a journalist that he had asked the army to resist. But no government forces defended the city.

Delay

On Saturday morning, someone in the halls of power in Damascus brought up the idea of Assad making a speech.

"We started to set up the equipment. Everything was ready," said the first palace official.

"Later on we were surprised to learn that the speech had been postponed, maybe to Sunday morning."

According to him, top officials and aides were unaware that while this was happening, the Syrian army had already begun destroying its archives by setting them on fire.

Still on Saturday, at around 9:00 pm (1800 GMT), "the president calls his political adviser Buthaina Shaaban to ask her to prepare a speech for him, and to present it to the political committee which is meant to meet on Sunday morning", said a senior official close to Assad.

"At 10:00 pm she calls him back, but he no longer picks up the phone."

That evening, Assad's media director Kamel Sakr told journalists: "The president is going to deliver a statement very soon."

But then Sakr, too, stopped answering his phone, as did interior minister Mohammed al-Rahmoun.

The palace official said he stayed in his office until 2:30 am on Sunday. Within less than four hours, the rebels were to announce that Assad was gone.

"We were ready to receive a statement or a message from Assad at any moment," said the top palace official.

"We could have never imagined such a scenario. We didn't even know whether the president was still at the palace."

'Everything was lost'

At around midnight, the palace official had been told that Assad needed a cameraman for Sunday morning.

"That reassured us that he was in fact still there," he said.

But just before 2:00 am, an intelligence officer called to say all government officials and forces had left their offices and positions.

"I was shocked. It was just the two of us in the office. The palace was almost empty, and we were totally confused," said the official.

At 2:30 am he left the palace.

In the city centre, "arriving at Umayyad Square, there were plenty of soldiers fleeing, looking for transportation," he said.

"There were thousands of them, coming from the security compound, the defence ministry and other security branches. We found out that their superiors had ordered them to flee."

The official said it was a "frightening" scene.

"Tens of thousands of cars leaving Damascus, and even more people marching on the road on foot. It was that moment I realised everything was lost and that Damascus had fallen."

What happened to Detroit?

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A multitude of factors came together at just the right time to assure that the automotive industry, which was the backbone of Detroit’s wealth, would leave and go overseas. A few other factors then came along to aggravate Detroit’s tailspin into economic oblivion.

A factor that is often overlooked, which affected not only industry in Detroit, but industry in the United States in general, is containerization.

It seems like something simple, but twenty-foot containers that became globally standardized in shipping after WWII transformed the way we moved cargo around the planet.

Below is a photo of a modern port that contains thousands of shipping containers that, once unloaded from a ship, can either be hitched to a freight truck or placed on trains for shipping to their next destination.

(Image source: NOAA).

Prior to standardization using shipping containers, this is what a dock looked like. It required dozens of dock workers working around the clock to unload a single ship.

(Image source: State Library of South Australia).

Today, container ships are massive and carry thousands of twenty-foot-equivelant units (TEU’s) to destinations all over the planet. Modern software handles the logistics of loading and unloading the containers in a logistically sound sequence, based on the port of destination of the various cargo containers. One person, operating a container gantry crane, will then unload containers from the ship, doing the same work in mere minutes that previously took dock workers many hours.

(As you can see, modern container ships can carry over 20,000 TEU’s. Source: The Geography of Transport Systems).

This made shipping of automotive components incredibly cheap, where before the labor costs and the poor logistics of shipping made it less feasible to make such components overseas. Simultaneously, it made the importation of foreign goods into the United States much cheaper, even when accounting for tariffs.

Containerization was the basis for creating the globalized world that we live in today. It’s why even cheap goods like your t-shirts, underwear, and shoes can be made with components from one country (e.g., Egypt), but manufactured in another country (e.g., Bangladesh) and sold in a third country (e.g., The United States). All at a very low price.

(General Motors supply chain in 2024. Image source: Esri UK).

Due to the disruption in the global shipping market caused by containerization, by the late 1970s and early 1980s, the writing was on the wall for nearly all goods made in the United States. At this point, Detroit would have to choose a new path and reinvent itself as something new. Instead, the unions and regional governments dug their heads into the sand and pretended as if the sky was not falling. This exacerbated the decline of manufacturing in Detroit that was already inevitable.

Detroit never really made a successful shift away from a manufacturing-based economy, although to be fair, few other manufacturing cities in the Rustbelt did either.

How do I improve my eyesight naturally?

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"Can You Really Improve Eyesight Naturally? Absolutely!"

If you've ever wished for sharper vision without relying on glasses or contacts, you're not alone. Nature offers powerful tools to nurture your eyesight. One such gem is aloe vera—a natural remedy I’ve recommended for over 20 years. Paired with proper nutrition and lifestyle changes, it can work wonders.

I remember a patient in her late 50s struggling with blurry vision and early signs of cataracts. She was skeptical at first but decided to try a holistic approach. Along with eye exercises and a nutrient-rich diet, she used a homemade remedy with aloe juice, honey, walnuts, and lemon. Within a month, her vision felt clearer, and her eye irritation disappeared.

The Aloe Vera Remedy for Eye Health

This “vitamin bomb” is loaded with nutrients that support eye health and combat inflammation. Here’s how to make it:

Ingredients:

  • 100 g aloe juice
  • 500 g chopped walnuts
  • 300 g honey
  • Juice of 3-4 lemons

Preparation:

  1. Extract the juice from fresh aloe leaves. (Use only the gel; rinse the leaves thoroughly.)
  2. Blend all ingredients until smooth.
  3. Store in the fridge for up to 10 days.

How to Use:
Take 1 tablespoon three times daily, 30 minutes before meals, for 3 months. You’ll notice improvements in as little as 30 days!

Other Natural Tips to Improve Eyesight

  1. Eat Eye-Friendly Foods: Leafy greens (spinach, kale): Rich in lutein and zeaxanthin, antioxidants that protect your retina. Carrots and sweet potatoes: Packed with beta-carotene, which supports night vision. Fish (salmon, mackerel): Omega-3s help reduce dry eyes and support retinal health.
  2. Practice Eye Exercises: Try the 20-20-20 rule: Every 20 minutes, focus on something 20 feet away for 20 seconds. Roll your eyes in a circle (clockwise and counterclockwise) to relax your eye muscles.
  3. Hydrate and Rest: Stay hydrated to keep your eyes moist. Get 7-8 hours of sleep nightly to reduce strain and refresh your vision.
  4. Protect Your Eyes: Wear sunglasses to block UV rays. Limit screen time or use blue light-blocking glasses.

Motivation: You’re in Control!

Improving your eyesight naturally takes commitment, but the rewards are worth it. Think of it as an investment in yourself. Small, consistent efforts—like nourishing your body with the aloe remedy or taking mindful screen breaks—can bring lasting changes.

Nature holds the power to heal, and your eyes deserve the best care. Why not start today? Your future self will thank you! 🌱