Friday, March 21, 2025

Will Russia accept the proposed US/Ukraine ceasefire offer, and what will happen if they do not?

Absolutely not. Accepting a peace deal at this point is anathema to Russian goals. It also signals weakness on Putin’s part, and that can be deadly in the mafia-style society that Putin has fostered and benefited from for so long. As it stands, Putin has accepted a cease-fire “in principle” but also stated that further discussions are needed. In other words…he’s delaying a cease fire, because he doesn’t benefit from one.

On Wednesday, Putin visited troops, and his statements prove he has no interest in a peace deal.

  • He emphasized that it is important to push Ukraine out of Kursk. Doing so would, of course, sabotage any cease-fire/peace agreement.
  • He pointed out that it is important to extend a buffer zone between the two nations. This suggests he’ll open a new front near Sumy, again sabotaging any possible peace agreement.

Further, Putin claimed he began this war to “save” Russian speakers. If he stops before claiming all of the Donbas, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, then he’ll appear to have failed in this mission. Weakness, such as this, in Putin’s societal structure is a very dangerous thing.

Lastly, Ukraine launched a massive attack involving over 300 drones into Russia just before accepting the peace agreement. For Putin to accept peace at this point makes him appear to wither beneath the power of Ukrainian firepower. Again, that makes him look weak.

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